Friday, December 02, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 12/2/2016


One of the few changes from Wednesday's monthly update is that the $NYAD's dropped into a sell signal. Ya Know, it's probably just another whip saw and don't mean a stinking thing, BUTT, every 50% drop in the markets started with the smallest most insignificant move, so I have to keep it in mind.


The $NYMO and $NYSI remain on buy signals, but the $NYHL is showing a very negative look, as the $NYA has remained flat as the $NYHL has dropped from 250 to 75. The bulls would say well, that's GOOD, as it shows resilience, while I would say bull shit and put on my Democratic loser conspiracy hat and say the FED reserve is holding it up. 


That bottom line in my Market monitor has a lot of red on it, what it means is that all the markets accept the little stocks in the INDU finished HIGHER on the day, while a lot of the numbers finished NEGATIVE, IE, they were lower than the prior DOWN day. That's a divergence, which means if I was stupid enough to short it over the weekend the FED would tell me to DIVERGE THIS as they give Goldman a few billion with instructions to buy the futures Sunday night.


So, here's the winner's in my 80 markets this week, let's see, hhhhmmm, let me take a guess as to what went higher this week after the slim bags at OPEC worked their "magic", oh, yea, USO was the winner, up 11.13%, which makes all consumers and stocks in the IYT just pleased as punch! One surprise was QID in fourth, which, if I were to GUESS, I would say the NasDOGS got hammered this week.
So the Big Dogs, despite being the only one down on Friday, were the big major winners this week, DIA on page two and up a massive .23% on the week, and then it was, aaaahhhhh, hhhhmmmm, well, I guess we go to the next page for the rest of them .....

Here's the winner's of the loser's for the week, EWZ got slammed because OPEC raised prices?? I thought they are a producer, actually they went down on a rate cut and the realization they will NEVER resolve all the corruption in Government. Our major loser's start showing up here with the NasDOGS leading the way, QQQ down 2.61% on the week, followed by the little guys with IWM down 2.36%, with the SPY being the best of the worst, down .73%, 45 of the 80 markets were down this week, so combined with the oil BS it was not a particularly good week.


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 this week,  I cannot believe there's a bunch of oil related stocks on this page, my my, surprise surprise, wait until they cause a recession and see how you like that fake oil rise then!


Here's the big losers in the SP 500, VRTX is why I don't DO biotechs, TRIP is why I don't DO online companies, PERIOD, FOSL is why I don't DO clothing thingies, HRB is why I don't do income taxes, and AA is why I don't DO outfits that I USED to love, and now they are some thing I can't figure out. Other than those, I pretty much HATE the rest of them. 

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

MONTHLY WRAP UP FOR 11/30/2016


The $NYAD's finished October on a sell signal, and in November they finished, aaaaaahhhhhh, wellllll, right ON the sell signal. We did advance on the A/D's in November, but of concern is we didn't make new highs with the markets, and we have a little divergence working as the $NYA has advanceed the last three days while the NYAD's are heading lower, that's not a good configuration at all.


Of 12 major markets seven are on buy signals, 20 sma above 50 sma, with five on sell, the sells are $CRB, GLD, VWO, TLT and IYR. Six of the last seven days the $CRB has been above the 50 sma, but it has not been able to get the 20 bending higher.

Only four of the important Bullish Percent indexes are on buy signals, $BPDISC, $BPINDY, $BPENER, and $BPMATE. With none of the major indexes in the buy column it reflects the idea that fewer stocks are doing all the lifting.


Eight of the 12 sectors are on buy, the four on sell are XLU, XLV, XLK and XLP. 

And the big winner in my 80 markets this month waasssss   ....................... XME, of 31 stocks in the index only four were lower, CDE, MUX, NEM and CLD, AKS, X and CLF were in 2-4 with FCX in 7th, and a coal stock, with WLB the leader, up 95% for the month.
OIH, XLE and USO are on the first page only because the crooked slim bag MF'ers in the middle east decided to cut production in order to raise prices and send the world into a depression, taking them down with it! Wad ever, they are only the second worst manipulators in the World, exceeded only by the Federal Reserve. If oil goes up I don't imagine IYT will be in 5th spot next month.
IWM was our best major, up 11.06% on the month, then the big dogs, DIA up 5.94%, then SPY at 3.68%, with the NasDOGS actually being DOGS for the month, QQQ only up .44%. 


I'm actually a little surprised we had loser's this month, but I'll be damned if we didn't have MORE loser's than winners, 46 out of the 80 markets to be exact, but to be fair 3 of those are inverse funds. Is Egypt having another Arab Spring?? It was even worse than the VXX, which I consider next to impossible. GDX was in third, down 15.05%, which explains to me my ever increasing interest in it. TLT and XLU are the only US type of markets on the worst page, for reasons we all know, that being interest rates and the dollar being higher, plus with Trump having all that Bankruptcy experience I would demand like 50% in TLT, and hope and pray the US can hang on two years so you get your money back. 


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 this month, it surprises me to see HAR in first, I may take a look and find out what they do one of these days. I had the 3rd place winner, FCX, and I had the 6th place, RIG, but I coughed it up WAY to early, hahahahahaha, what a chicken shit ................... I still have BAC, but it's just in a stock replacement thing.


Here's the loser's in the SP for the month, TRIP got tripped up when it's batteries went down on the way to the grocery store, and that's my explanation of the worst three stocks and I'm sticking to it .............. I've said it before and I'll say it again, I LOVE NEM ........... about another 50% lower!

Friday, November 25, 2016

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 11/25/2016

Deere soars after big FQ4 beat

  • Net income of $285.3M, or $0.90 per share vs. $351.2M, or $1.08 per share in the comparable quarter of 2015.
  • Worldwide net sales decreased 3% Y/Y to $6.52B from the same quarter a year ago. Segment Sales: Agriculture & Turf. -5%; Construction & Forestry -5%.
  • "The company in 2016 had one of its ten-best years in both sales and earnings, a noteworthy achievement in light of the difficult business climate," CEO Samuel Allen declared. "We are driving further efficiency gains and have confidence we can deliver structural cost reductions of at least $500M by the end of 2018."
  • Outlook for fiscal 2017: Equipment sales are projected to decrease about 1%. Net sales are also expected to decrease about 1%, while net income is anticipated to be about $1.4B.
  • DE +9.7% premarket.


I wasn't going to post this but I was so stoked out about it I had already had it on the post the day that Deere reported. Now, they talk about the HUGE beat for the quarter, but the stupid ass ANAL-yst had put a completely asinine low ball estimate of 40 fricking cents, so the, "BEAT", looks awesome, but in that most inconvenient of things called "TRUTH", they were 42% LOWER than last quarter and 17% LOWER than the same quarter last year, which, Ya Know, wouldn't be so bad if the stock wasn't trading at all stinking time highs!!!!!!!!
Ya Know, I, LOVE, Deere, it's a great company and all that, but those last two charts are just ridiculous, a great idiot on Bubblevision once said, every two minutes about, that "EARNINGS ARE THE MOTHER'S MILK OF STOCK PRICES", and, well, YOU CAN KISS MY EVER LOVING FRICKING ASSSSSSSSSS! Those two red arrows are the same time period and show how earnings peaked in 2013 and have gone down ever since into the great "BEAT" this quarter. 
This is just a rant of course, and means absolutely ZERO, the stupid thing will probably do a Buzz Lightyear, as in INFINITY AND BEYOOOOOOND!


On a more serious note the $NYAD's are on a slight buy signal but are still NOT leading the markets higher, they are still below the September highs, but, so is the $NYA, just ever so much, so when the $NYA makes new highs it sure would be nice if the NYAD's did as well.



The $NYMO and $NYSI are, GENERALLY, very similar in "nature", so it bears watching when the two are diverging, as the MO is on buy while the SI is NOT.


The $COMPQ stands out like a sore thumb as they are still NOT on a buy signal, 20 sma above 50, the QQQ are actually a little WORSE looking, the $NYA is also NOT on a buy, ALTHOUGH, it's only by 2.19 points, which is even less than a gnat's ass. $CRB, TLT, VWO, GLD and IYR are also on SELL signals, which, if you are keeping track, means seven of 12 markets are on SELL SIGNALS, pretty strange stuff,it is ...........


Despite the weakness in those main markets above, the Bullish Percent indexes still managed to be even WORSE, AGAIN, ALTHOUGH, they improved from ZERO on buy last week to a whopping TWO on buy this week, $BPENER and $BPINDY. I still consider POSITIVE BP reading to be VERY important. 


XLY and XRT joined XLB,XLI, XLE, XLF and XME  in the sector bull party this week, so the individual sectors are doing better than either of the above sections. 


So, here's the winner's in my 80 markets this week, we moved up to 53 markets higher this week, still a lot less than the 62 five weeks ago . UNG led the charge, AGAIN, in anticipation of all the Nat Gas Trump will need to burn all that asphalt ....... XME was in second as they need all that steel for the new asphalt equipment they will be buying, DBC was up as they need WAY more gas for ALL those trucks and tractors, EWA was in sixth because by the time X, NUE and AKS get done raising steel prices like mad it will be cheaper to haul it in from the Aussies, same thought process with IYT, XLB and XLE.
IWM was our best major market, AGAIN, up 2.88% on the week, DIA was in the two spot way down in 34th position, up 1.32%, the SPY up 1.16%, with the NasDOGS being the real Dogs this week, QQQ only up .88%, hardly worth mentioning when you have a lousy 45% yearly gains.


Here's the winner's of the loser's for the week, the dollar was up a whopping .26% on the week which completely explains the drop in GLD and SLV, hell, even GDX fell 3.19% this week after being higher last week into a HIGHER dollar, so it's back in line, a lot of foreign stuff on there as the higher dollar actually does hurt them, really surprising to see Germany on the worst page list, usually the SPY and EWG track pretty well, but, in this day and age it Que Sera Sera ...........


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 this week,  I cannot believe I actually had the biggest winner in the SP 500 this week, wooo hooo, for the second week in a row yet, I've had it a while as most of you know, I did sell the stock and move into a stock replacement strategy, buying Jan 17' calls and doing a spread. See above for DE, WYNN is higher as Trump is bringing out the gambler in every one, no financials on the first page this week, what's Sa matter guys!!!


Geeze, what, people are not buying cloths???

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