Friday, July 03, 2015

TRADE "IDEAS" FOR MONDAY 7/6/2015

Sign Up for Ivica's Free Trial and Trading 
Signals Click Here!



The blue circle used to be called a "KNEE KICK", we 
would get a drop (rise), then get a weak rally (fade), 
then get the hammer in the knew and drop in a
 "continuation" or "equal move" scenario. 
Of course, that was back in the days before MASSIVE
 FED and Government manipulation of the "free"
 markets, so who fricking knows what will happen. 

MOS- LONG IDEA

LULU- LONG IDEA

TFM- SHORT IDEA

STOCK TRADING IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH AND IF YOU TAKE ANY OF THESE TRADE IDEAS AND HAVE NO COMPREHENSIVE TRADING PLAN OR NO STOPS IN PLACE YOU WILL UNDOUBTEDLY LOSE ALL OF YOUR MONEY, PLEASE READ THE DISCLAIMER AND PRIVACY POLICY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEB SITE. I MAY ALSO HAVE A POSITION IN THE SECURITIES MENTIONED AND I MAY BE PUMPING THEM HOPING TO FIND A SUCKER TO TAKE IT OFF MY HANDS AT HIGHER (OR LOWER) PRICES (JUST LIKE GOLDMAN SACHS, HAH!).
TAKE ONLY THE OPPORTUNITIES THAT YOU REALLY LIKE AND UNDERSTAND. ALWAYS ENTER A TRADE WITH A TRADING PLAN. THE PRIMARY FOCUS IS TO FIND SWING TRADES BY USING INTRADAY SETUPS THAT HAVE A POTENTIAL TO BECOME SWING TRADES. OUR MAIN FOCUS AS TRADERS IS TO TAKE HIGH PROBABILITY AND R/R TRADES AND CONTROL OUR RISK.
Further, any opinions, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this blog page is provided for educational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice or solicitations to trade. Please consult your investment adviser before committing any actual funds to the markets. 

CAUTION IS ADVISED!!


FIRST HALF AND WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR 7/2/2015


Soooooo, for the first half of the year the DIA, SPY, $TRAN, $NYA, $CRB and the $USD all ended with Silver DEATH crosses, the 20 SMA under the 50 SMA, the $COMPQ, IWM and $TNX all ended with bullish Silver set ups, not shown are the NasDOGS, QQQ, which just in the last couple of days had a Death cross.
One weirdo is the IWM and $TNX BOTH higher, as the general consensus is that SMALL CAPS don't like fricking HIGHER interest rates, BUTT, I guess they DO!! 

I got into FinVIZ to do the weekly stats and, WOW, what beautiful SET UPS!! They all had rounded bottoms on their intra-day patterns on Friday..............MMMMMMMMMMMMMMM........ ROOOOOOOOOOO...DED......... BOTTOMS........ I like 'em! Of course, I guess the fate of the world lies with the Greek voters, but, HEY, I hear Greek's LIKE rounded bottoms as much as me........


Putin was the beg wiener in my 76 markets in the first half of the year, RSX up a whooping 25.12%, with EWJ at 12%, EIRL and EIS right behind at almost 12%, with the surprise, to ME, that China was in sixth place, FXI up 11.42%. You have to go a ways to find our major markets, actually, our dollar was the big winner, UUP plus 4.51%, it was behind the SLV, XHB and XLY sectors, as of Friday the best major was the NasDOGS, QQQ up 4.79%, IWM 3.81%, SPY 1.81%, with the big boys bringing up the rear, DIA up a whooping .63%.


Here's the big loser's in the first half, it's amazing, our majors were hardly up, like the SPY and DIA, and yet that stinking VXX was down almost 30 fricking percent, I mean, I've said it before and I'll say it a million times more, that thing STINKS!!!!! XLU was our worst sector, actually worst that the IYT to some what of a surprise, down 14% vs 11.84%, IYR was down 7%, with a kind of surprising TLT "ONLY" down 5.26%, I thought it would be worse. like XLE only down 5.26%, it's kind of weird to see XLI down 5% while the DIA was flat, but that just goes to show with the changes in the DIA in more like the XLF than the XLI!!!!


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 for the first half, and....


Here's the big loser's......



Both the $NYAD and $NYSI remain on pretty solid sell signals, the more important $NYAD's hit the low made back in March while the $NYA is still ABOVE that low, which I consider NOT good as the $NYAD's are leading us LOWER, but, that could all change in an instant I guess....


Only 16 of my 77 markets were higher this week, and four of those were inverse funds, the one I spent all that time ragging on up above was the big winner, hahahahahahaha, VXX up 14.38%, DBA, XLU, UUP, DBC, IYR, BND were all higher on the week, and that's.......................... it.........


Another WILD THING, XIV, was the big loser this week, down 15.98%, XME and USO were commodity loser's with the higher dollar, SMH was our big sector loser down 4.29%, our worst major is on the list, IWM down 3.17%, QQQ down 1.86%, SPY -1.2% and DIA -.88%. Europe was just a little wild this week, EWG was up like 4% on Thursday alone and yet finished -3.91% on the week.
2 markets finished the week on 20 day highs, EPI and DBA, vs 1 last week, 5 on 20 day lows vs 11 last wk, 15 finished with a Silver cross vs 22 last wk, that 15 was the lowest number of Silver crosses in my 77 markets since last October, which of course was a bottom back then.
The $NYSE closed with 114 stocks on PSAR buy signals vs 52 last wk, 61 on PSAR sell signals vs 271, 51 had 52 wk highs vs 78 last wk, 80 52 wk lows vs 56, 70 on CCI buys vs 48 and 72 CCI sells vs 278 last week, so the "breath" was a little better.


Here's the big winners in the SP 500 this week, and..........


Here's the losers, only 11 stocks in the SP up over 4% this week seems a little weak to me, but, HEY, who am I to say, AA starts earnings season on Wednesday, it didn't make the list as it was "only" down 4% on the week, down about 35% since it started MAKING money after the 2 BILLION dollar loss, sssoooooooo. if they LOSE a couple of BIL, buy the ever loving shit out of it!!! It made a nice effort to hold $11 on Friday, an actual green candle, so, who knows, that's almost back where it started it's run after the big loss, sssoooooooo........... I don't know what to say.

China's Stock Market Rollercoaster Ride Continues
But there is a way to endure the wild ride -- with Elliott wave analysis

Friday, June 26, 2015

WEEKLY WRAP UP FOR JUNE 26, 2015



Both the $NYAD at the top and the $NYSI had little whip saws this week, with both clawing over the signal line by Wednesday, but they both closed the week back on sell signals.
This is NOT an invitation to trade any thing, just giving some fact's on breath indicators.


The Candleglance charts show the Silver Cross, the 20 SMA above the 50 SMA, on the major indexes the DIA, $TRAN, $CRB, $NYA remain on SELL signals, with the $COMP and IWM on BUY signals, and the SPY just barely holding on to a BUY signal, the Dollar is still on sell, and the 10 year yields gained 9.22% this week to close at 2.476%, meaning, of course, bonds probably got killed.



Some one on Twitter was insisting that the AAII senitment index means some thing because it was under 20% bulls on June 11, so, I decided to look for myself. The bottom chart is the AAII going back to 1987, the top is the SPX going back to 1996, the red numbers ABOVE the SPX bars are the periods on the AAII chart when bulls were above 60% at certain times, and the red numbers UNDER the SPX bars are when the AAII was under 20% at certain times.
This is just for your information, come to your own conclusions, but two of the three times we were under 20% resulted in big rallies, with the other time resulting in about a 50% DROP, sssooooooooooooooooooooo.......
Four of the higher readings ended with the index going higher, while the other three were pretty good TOP pickers, especially the one on 10/11/07.



Here's the big wiener's in my 77 markets this week, the AG's finally made their big move this week, DBA up 3.89%, I watch the weekly AG report on RFD every week and the trader's kind of expected this, but they also think it won't last long and will go back and retest the lows this summer. I had to go all the way down to number 17 to get to an American index, XHB was up 1.3% on the week as home buyers LOVE higher interest rates I guess, the dollar was UUP 1.3%, all the rest of the stuff on that list were the udder worldly markets as I guess they loved the turmoil in Greece.


We start showing up on the loser's list, with TLT in third at minus 3.23%, you just blew your whole YEAR in those MASSIVE dividends, hahahahahahaha, none of our majors showed up on this list either, as our big winner was "only" down .25% on the week, the IWM, next was DIA at -.33%, then SPY at -.43%, with the NasDOGS bringing up the rear with QQQ -.56%.
Two markets closed on a 20 day high vs 1 last week, that was DBA and ERY, 16 closed at 20 day lows vs 3 last week, 20 closed on a Silver Cross vs 23 last week, 44 NYSE stocks closed with PSAR buy signals vs 137 last week, 299 on PSAR sell signals vs 84, big change for the week, 87 closed on 52 wk highs vs 121 and 79 closed on 52 wk lows vs 37 last week, 85 had CCI buy signals vs 119 and 235 were on CCI sell signals vs 110 last week.


Here's the big winner's in the SP 500 this week, WMB was a take over, the next three were also take overs, all by Obama, MRO was a Cramer thing, then LEN was an actual EARNINGS beat, woooo hooooo, I have no idea why DE was in the 12 spot, all those farmers I listen to say they won't be buying equipment for years and years, hhhhhhmmmmmm, I get an AA feeling here. Wonderful company, I love it, I just can't figure it out.


And here's the beg loser's, WYNN just cracks me up, it was like over $240 or so at the start of 2014 and it closed under $100 this week, I guess Macau is a disaster, MON in no. 6 spot is kind of a DE thingey, as they said they see no respite from low crop prices, and once again, I seem to say DE and hhhhmmmm in the same breath, but like I always say, what the hell do I know, I wouldn't short DE just because it would be UN-American as hell to do so.

blogger templates | Make Money Online