7:40pm: I'm adding this later, as I'm talking to myself about the close, and why I was so disappointed with it, and what it's done, this is in relation that that last commentary below. The 5 minute chart is now totally screwed, as far as a continuation of the upside, IE, it's going to take some time to repair it. Futures are UP as I write, so I have no idea where we open, but based on the close, I would be looking to short any pop in the morning, as we could be setting up an avalanche type of setup, depending on how high they gap us up. What I'd want to see, if how we react if we get back to that horizontal black line, if we start tailing it there, then I will short the shit out of this thing. I'm just trying to get a plan in place, trying to take my emotion out of the equation. If they gap us over that black line, well, then I will wait to see, how we react at the highs of today, which will be my key point tomorrow.
7:00PM: One thing I do, is review the day, constantly, trying to find my screw up's, and/or things I miss. I had a different aggenda today, that is, because of the nature of my "positions", I was actually looking to get less short, and try and get more long, to capitilize on the dumb ass run up, THEREFORE, I was "looking" at things, different, than I normaly have been, and AS SUCH, missed some decent oportunities, that being the two red circles. Now, I have to stop, right off the bat, because what's happening, is I'm talking about my mental misreprestation, of how I was looking at the day (did that make sense??). I'm more concerned about making money off the short side of my trades, by covering at opportune moments, rather than, looking to MAKE more money, shorting the shit out of the stupid thing. I'm talking to myself here, you understand, what happened is I got out of my "sequence". ANYWAY, the two circles represent two things I look for all the time, the first one on the left, we ran up out of the open, made the new high, then "tailed" it, IE, fuzzy tails, and started back down, we only went down a couple of bars, then went back up, and tested that early high, and then "tailed" the shit out of it, IE you see how they tested that line with tails, and yet close way under that line. But what's happened is, is that we've done the bow tie cross over on the 8-16-34ema's, and the momentum is positive, so we pull back a couple of bars, sit on the 16 with a couple of narrow range doji type bars, and then start going up. Then this time, when we approach the prior double top, the bar blast right through it, that's the 15th bar from the open. Number one, that's how you break through double tops and double bottoms, YOU DON'T WAFFLE AT THE BREAK LINE, you just go right through it. You really wouldn't have picked up shit on that short.
So, we go up, and get to the next circle, now, what's not shown, is we have some resistance to the left, in the high's from the first bar yesterday, and the gap fill from two days ago, so now we stop, do a little pull back, and then go back up to test it, and just tail the shit out of it. So you try the short again, with a stop over those highs, and then THIS time, on the first pull back, we get under the 16ema, the blue line. We've broken the momentum some what, so if you hold to your stop, you live through the little run up we have, then we come down and test the 50sma, the thick red line, and you make a little decent change.
THEN, and I didn't circle the thing, damn it, we had the last break out, over to the right, between 12-13:00. I mean, we did the terrificly cool double top off of the level I just talked about above, then we pull back, BUT, we stay above the blue 16ema, IE we are showing strength, so we go up, and test that double top line right on the button, and then the next bar goes right through it, to the new highs of the day (actually, the final highs on the day). I wish I would have had a close up of the break out bar, because when you look at it, it actually opened right on the previous high line, and pulled back down, IE, it was RED, and giving the impression it was going to fail. But they stopped at the 8ema, and immediately reversed the bar to the upside, taking out the prior highs with that green top on the candle.
Anyway, all the action happens around the pivot area's, the previous highs and lows, of what ever time period, and I take the breakout/breakdown, in the context of if we are in a strong position going into the breakout, or a weak position going into the break down. And of course, this has to all be related as to where we are on the dailies, 60's, etc.
6:15pm: My man Clive, Corcoran that is
http://morph366.blogspot.com/, mentioned some thing about the "Education" stocks this morning. I haven't said any thing about this, which, I SHOULD have a long time ago, when I first started thinking about how stupid it was, when they all had that humongous run up, but, sigh, it's better to run your stupid mouth to late, and be ridiculed, than to have never mouthed off at all. I have had personal experience with the outfits, as I paid for my youngest son's mechanic "degree", with ITT, and VERY expensive it was, indeed. He's made a lot of money since then (NONE of which, I might add, I have seen), so I can say it was worth it. BUT, the thing that just floored me, was the "explanation" for the bubblicious run up in these stupid things, that being, that with all the lay offs, and the recession/depression approaching, people would be piling into these "schools", in lieu of going to a real college. Well, wad ever, but, if you have been laid off, YOU HAVE NO STINKING CHANCE IN HELL, OF BEING ABLE TO PAY FOR YOUR "EDUCATION" IN ONE OF THESE THINGS!!! And, to top that off, to MY way of thinking, most of them are "Vocational" in nature, meaning, you are paying those mucho bucko's, to get your "degree", in an area, where they are laying people off by the boat load already!!!! I guess I mean to say, the run up didn't quite make sense to me, wad ever, I probably "could'ave, should'ave, would'ave", shorted one of them, to pay myself back, for the bucko's I had previously paid, but alas, I DON'T "DO" STOCKS! IDIOT!!
5:55pm: AAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!! CLICK ON THE TEN DAY FORECAST ON THE LITTLE WHEATHER FORECAST THING ON THE SIDE BAR ON THE RIGHT!!! AAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!
5:15pm: HAH, I had to laugh a little to myself, on the way back from the grocery store, and the all important "stuff" store, I actually brought some calls today, hahahahahaha! I was trying to remember the last time I brought calls, rather than being a seller of them, I honestly can't remember. Of course, with only three UP days in the last 16 days, WHY IN THE HELL WOULD ANYONE "BUY" CALLS ANYWAY????!!!
AND ANOTHER THING, IF I HAD KNOWN THIS WHOLE RALLY TODAY, WAS PREDICATED ON THE FACT THAT THOSE COMMIE BASTARD CHINESE RALLIED BECAUSE THEY HAD AN ACTUAL ECONOMIC "STIMULUS" PLAN IN PLACE, RATHER THAN A "SPENDING" PLAN, LIKE SOME OTHER COUNTRY I KNOW OF, I WOULD HAVE NEVER BROUGHT SHIT!!!!!!




2:10PM: Aiiiiiiiyyyyyyeeeeee, hahahaha, we went from over sold, to over bought, in one stinking day, hahahaha!!! BUNCHA FRICKING FLAKES!!! The Q shorters went to bed last night, thinking they had a nice little 2% gain working for them, after the crappy news last night, and wake up this morning, to find out, they are the main person involved, with A WAKE!! THEY GOT DA BOYZED, WOOOO HOOOOO!!
Ok, enough of that, my personal thought is, wad a bunch of shit, but, wad ever, ya gotta go wid da flow. I will say, the sell off the last half hour was EXTREMELY disappointing, I was really, honestly, looking for a punch into the close, which is a typical trend day type close, SIGH! Looking at the 60min chart, we still don't have a higher low, to even start looking at an uptrend, and worse, we haven't even gotten into my trend-O-meter setup, where we get a cross of the 16-34ema's. Maybe the current pull back will set up a higher low, and then I can go from that point. SIGH, this is probably just another sucker punch. One other thing that didn't look good all day was the TRIN, it stayed above 1 all day, and jumped up to the 1.50 area with the selling into the close, volume was just about exactly average. This was out of the ordinary selling, makes me wonder if the Boyz are whispering in each other's ear's on the floor. We'll probably find out after the close, that GE filed BK, hahahaha, I heard an interesting thing about that, that if they did go to zero, the DOW would crash an astounding 54 points, hahahahaha, poor old GE.
I swore I wouldn't rag on anyone (yeeeeaaa, rriiiggghhhtt), but I waited all day, and couldn't help it when I finally heard it, Mark Eibel, of RUSSELL for god's sake, used every fricking cliche in the fricking book, saying that it's impossible to TIME the market, investor's have to stay invested at ALL times, because if they DON'T, they will miss days like this!!!! HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA, so, let me get this right MARK, you stay invested, lose about 57% of your fricking money, and then go woooo hooooo, when you manage to get 2% of it back, ON A DAY LIKE TODAY!!!! JERK!!!