If you want to fish Montana this summer, I suggest you check out this outfit,
http://montanariveroutfitters.com/blog/, my youngest son Matt is a guide for them. Mention my name and get 50%, ADDED, to your bill, hahahahahahahaha!

Just like some stupid old man (like some one I know), the "markets" need a rest, whether that will happen or not is any ones guess, when they start doing dumb ass things like this, they can stay stupid for a while. My favorite strategy, "GUESSING", is that we set up some thing like I talked about on the 26th,
http://www.thecluelessqtrader.com/2011/06/blog-post_25.html, where we get a three wave "corrective" wave up into the $135 "resistance" "area". The problem is, is that we've gone to far, it would have been, quote, "better", if the first wave would have stopped at the first major resistance we hit on Thursday, which was the 50 DMA and the gap fill around $132, a pull back off of that level would have set up a terrific LONG play above $132 on an ensuing rally, but the very good ISM number on Friday gapped us over that area, thus I don't see any decent R/R in taking it here with out some kind of pull back first. My personal plan now would be to "hope" (another favorite strategy of mine) that they gap us up to that all important $135 "area" on Tuesday, and then start the pull back at that point. That would set up $135 as the fulcrum point, and look for an "equal move" scenario off of what ever low we set up on the hoped for pull back. For instance, any pull back should NOT fall below the $132 level, so say they gap us to $135, that would be a gain of 8 points from the start of the rally, we then wallow back down to $132 and start the second leg of the rally, that set's up a target of $140. Depending on how the action goes, you could probably screw around with it around the $132 "area", with a stop under that level, OR, you could wait for it to go back and attack the $135 "area", and set up your next take at that point.
Wad ever, sigh, they sure get carried away, another scenario on a pull back would be a "back test" of that broken trend line, but that would basically be the same as the above. The worst thing is that they just continue up here, which if they do, I wish you all the best.
July has very strong seasonals, it's very typical to run up into the middle of the month, and then we get a big pull back after the bulk of earnings season is over with, usually into September, so I'm watching for that scenario to play out as well.
The Bar Charts momentum index,
http://www.barchart.com/education/help/stocks_momentum.php, is a compilation of stocks above their various MA's, it's interesting in that we had a huge surge on the 21st, a week ago last Tuesday, which was a big gap up day in the indexes, that resulted in a "bull trap" as we had a gap down and retest of the lows prior to this rally. What I find interesting is we had that huge surge, and now we are WAY above the level of the 21st on the indexes, but we have fewer stocks above their various MA's, IE, a divergence, or waning momentum if you will.
The main men, the A/D's, are in terrific shape, leading the indexes higher by breaking over the May highs first, good stuff it is, for the people that like higher prices that is.
The daily Summation index, at the top, finally triggered a new buy last week, and the weeklies at the bottom have also triggered a new buy signal on the 5.3 STOCH settings, although it continues to build out a HUGE divergence from the 2009 highs, which, in my opinion, will eventually lead to our down fall.
Here's some signals on various indexes based on a weekly "Price Envelope" break, most of the main indexes triggered a new long this week, but a number have NOT triggered, YET, like the XLF, SMH, FXI, Europe in the form of the ADRU, oil with XLE, and commodities in general with the GSG. SMH, XLE,, and ADRU will trigger with any positive close this week, while the others have some, aaaaaahhhhhh, work, to do.
A truly schizo week as far as the economic "indicators", the, "BAD", out numbered the, "GOOD", but the good was so far out of wack when compared to some udder things, it makes you wonder. Like, where did that fantastic Chicago PMI come from???? Just totally off the map when compared with the absolutely HORRIBLE numbers we've been getting from the udder Regional FED's, hhhmmmmm. The ISM number on Friday was GREAT, as in, GREAT TRY, LYING FRICKING GOVERNMENT!! The following is just one article about the, eeeerrrrrrr, aaaaaahhhhhh, financial engineering schemes done on it,
Anyway, none of it matters, as the economy and the stock markets are two ENTIRELY DIFFERENT ANIMALS!! As long as these slimy corporations continue to suck money out of "investors" here in the US, while taking their jobs and building new factories in Asia, and hiring ton's of FOXCONNER's, they will CONTINUE to rake in the MOOLA!! I'm real happy for them, REALLY!
HAH!! I can be a little, aaaahhhhhh, slow, at times, but to my credit I actually noticed this, that is, my inability to get candle stick charts for the commodity indexes at Stockcharts.com, I thought maybe it was my feed, or puter, or just a general dumb ass inability on my part to grasp the nuances of charts on the site, but they actually STOPPED doing candle sticks on commodities, and this is the reason,
http://blogs.stockcharts.com/chipanderson/2011/06/commodity-data-at-stockcharts-past-present-and-future.html.
Sigh, with the way Da Boyz have been screwing with the feeds it wouldn't surprise me much to see, some time in the short future, the site go to a line chart on ALL the indexes, in order to try and keep the crooks at bay.
Speaking of, CROOKS, Da Boyz have out done themselves with this one,
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/chicago-pmi-data-now-catering-hft-algos-deutsche-borse-buys-and-adds-datastream-alphaflash-h, "THEY", in this case Deutsche Boerse, is providing the release of the Chicago PMI AHEAD of the release to us retails........... hahahahahahahahaha, like, THAT'S NEWS???!!! I mean, we ALL know that Goldman dictates to Da Government what the numbers will be on their various releases, so this should come as no surprise! It does crack me up though, as it's going to create even MORE volatility prior to the actual release, as trader's try and game whether the price movement is the result of the ALGO's gaming the PRE-pre-release!